All about Croesus Retail Trust
CRT owns shopping malls in Japan. From the initial 4 properties in Japan, they have acquired 2 more properties right in the capital city, Tokyo. This sums up their total number of properties to 6. CRT's debt or gearing ratio is quite high at 51.7%. 20% of its debt is maturing in FY 2017, 60% in FY 2018 and the remaining 20% in FY 2019. The high gearing ratio may be a concern for some.
Two of the properties in Tokyo:
Luz Omori in Ota Ward, Tokyo. located at the intersection of a traditional shopping street and a retail street with strong shopper traffic that leads directly to the JR Omori Station.
Nis Wave I in Tachikawa City, Tokyo. Connected to the JR Tachikawa Station
Net asset value has increased slightly to 90c. At the current price of $1, this represents a premium to fair value. At current price of $1, if we annualised a DPU of 2c to get 8c, it represents a dividend yield of about 8%. This is still quite good. However, we have to ask ourselves whether CRT is still able to give a annual DPU of 8c? Will it be more or lesser in the next FY? With this, we have to bear in mind that CRT's policy is to distribute 100% of its distributable income in FY 2014 and FY 2015 and then at least 90% thereafter. So, there is a possibility that DPU will decrease after FY 2015. For now, we may see the same or more DPU in the next dividend payout assuming rental rates and occupancy rates remain stable.
The future of Croesus Retail Trust
CRT owns only 6 retail properties now. In future, i guess they will continue to expand their portfolio of properties which will hopefully increase DPU for investors. However, with CRT's debt already at quite a high level, they would most likely finance the purchase of further properties by other means. One possible way would be to offer a rights issue to existing shareholders. If that happens, existing shareholders would have the opportunity to accumulate more shares of CRT at an attractive price. Whether the management will do this is anybody's guess now.
Japan's economy is undergoing a recovery. I've blog about the Japan's economy for a number of times before already. The YEN has devalued quite a bit in the past 1-2 years. The devaluation of the YEN is a game changer. Previously, businesses were struggling due to the strong currency. Both exports and tourism suffered due to high costs for foreigners buying Japanese goods. This resulted in a decade of deflationary economy which depress rents and property prices. However, now we see inflation coming back and rental rates will definitely pick up along with a increase property prices.
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Related Posts:
1. Croesus Retail Trust - First Quarter results released and initiated long position
2. The Japan story - Croesus retail trust and Saizen Reit
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